Aug 05, 2008 - 04:06:04 CDT
North Dakota's swelling budget surplus is expected to soar above $1.2 billion by June, new estimates of state tax collections say. The news touched off a round of proposals about what the Legislature should do with the money, with Gov. John Hoeven suggesting he may support cutting the state income tax.Democratic governor candidate Tim Mathern, who is opposing the Republican incumbent's bid for re-election, said Monday the bulging surplus was a sign of mismanagement by the Legislature's majority Republicans.
Rather than allowing money "to accumulate in a bank vault," the state could be putting it toward education, health care and public works along with tax reductions, he said.
"This is a clear indicator that we haven't made the investments that should have been made, and the Legislature needs to correct that," Mathern said in an interview. "We have to get some priorities in order. We can make some investment in public infrastructure. We can make some investments in health care."
Both Hoeven and Mathern already have suggested new spending initiatives during the campaign, including increased aid to schools, money for local property tax cuts and greatly expanded aid programs for North Dakota college students.
Until Monday, lawmakers and state officials were anticipating a budget surplus of more than $700 million when the 2009 Legislature begins its session in January.
The new Office of Management and Budget forecast, which was prepared to use in drafting Hoeven's budget recommendations for lawmakers, pushed the surplus estimate close to $1.3 billion. North Dakota's current two-year general fund budget is $2.46 billion.
The state's general fund treasury, which is financed mostly by taxes on income, sales, energy, corporations, tobacco and alcohol, should have a surplus of $453.9 million when the current state budget period ends June 30, the new forecast says.
A fund that is used for surplus oil tax collections should have $622.9 million by June 30, the forecast says. A state "rainy day" fund already has a stash of $200 million, which pushes the estimated surplus to $1.28 billion by June 30.
The estimates also forecast continued strong growth in tax collections during North Dakota's 2009-2011 budget period, which begins July 1. General fund revenues are expected to rise 8 percent, to $2.73 billion during those two years, the forecast says.
The estimates are compiled by a national consulting firm, Economy.com, and vetted by the state budget office, the Tax Department and an advisory group of legislators and officials who are familiar with the farming and energy elements of North Dakota's economy.
Hoeven has proposed a $300 million education and property tax plan for the 2009 Legislature, which would increase state spending on local schools by $100 million and provide $200 million to compensate for local school district cuts in their property tax rates.
On Monday, Hoeven suggested the new revenue forecast also leaves room for a state income tax cut, although he offered no specifics.
"We're going to be able to do more with tax relief as a result of our growing revenues ... and still emphasize investment in the things that will grow the state, so that we can keep this going," Hoeven said. "It's taken a lot of time and work to build to this level, and we need to continue to build the economy."
An initiated measure likely to be on North Dakota's November ballot would reduce state individual income tax rates by 50 percent and corporate rates by 15 percent.
A separate ballot proposal seeks to cap the amount of oil tax money the North Dakota Legislature may easily spend. Instead, much of the surplus would go into a trust fund.
Rep. Rick Berg, R-Fargo, the House majority leader, and his Senate counterpart, Bob Stenehjem, R-Bismarck, said legislative enthusiasm for new spending should not outrun the economy's ability to produce ongoing tax revenue.
"I hope people don't lose a lot of sleep staying awake at night, trying to figure out how to spend it all," Stenehjem said.
Said Berg: "North Dakota is a commodity-based economy, and we have windfalls from the strong ag economy and windfalls from energy today. Commodities tend to go up and tend to go down, and we don't want to be in a position where we can't weather a downturn in commodity prices."
Pam Sharp, director of North Dakota's Office of Management and Budget, said the state's new revenue estimates assume North Dakota oil prices will average almost $98 a barrel until July 1, and almost $85 a barrel through June 30, 2010.
The forecast includes a decline during the following 12 months, with an average of $75 per barrel.

yo wrote on Dec 31, 2008 10:26 PM:
Job wrote on Aug 12, 2008 1:27 PM:
Rick wrote on Aug 12, 2008 12:47 PM:
1.2Billion would only make 1200 people millionaires. How do we decide, who gets it? "
rph wrote on Aug 12, 2008 7:28 AM:
DuWayne Hendrickson wrote on Aug 11, 2008 7:55 PM:
Bis Prof wrote on Aug 11, 2008 5:50 PM:
Thanks Bis Prof wrote on Aug 11, 2008 1:51 PM:
Also, kudos on continuing discussion for so long without losing your cool, I typically resort to ad hominem within 10 minutes, followed by throwing my hands up in exasperation. "
JOb wrote on Aug 10, 2008 10:44 PM:
WEST DAKOTA wrote on Aug 10, 2008 5:34 PM:
sunshine wrote on Aug 10, 2008 11:51 AM:
Someone at the capital should be keeping track of this, and every ND has a right to know. However, being from a oil impacted county, we absolutely need to get dollars back to maintain roads and improve bridges. The oil companies are paying taxes and I believe the funds should be used where they are generated. You know, ND isn't the only place where oil is found in the US. Ever heard of, "don't bite the hand that feeds you"? "
LJK wrote on Aug 9, 2008 10:21 AM:
ck wrote on Aug 9, 2008 9:20 AM:
Job wrote on Aug 9, 2008 12:15 AM:
Bis Prof wrote on Aug 8, 2008 8:29 PM:
Make me Rich wrote on Aug 8, 2008 5:35 PM:
One more thought for the road, there is roughly 600,000 residents in ND give each 1 million dollars!!! Then no more government program like Medicaid, Food Stamps etc. and then we would save money there and then we could say ND has only millionaires that live there!!! Love IT!! They would still have a surplus after that even. "
LJK wrote on Aug 8, 2008 5:10 PM:
Law wrote on Aug 8, 2008 12:46 PM:
Job wrote on Aug 8, 2008 12:36 PM:
Job wrote on Aug 8, 2008 12:28 PM:
DuWayne Hendrickson wrote on Aug 8, 2008 10:35 AM:
LJK wrote on Aug 8, 2008 9:03 AM:
Law wrote on Aug 8, 2008 8:01 AM:
LJK wrote on Aug 7, 2008 6:10 PM:
Bis Prof wrote on Aug 7, 2008 5:23 PM:
Your post is poorly worded, poorly punctuated, and rambles from point to point. Further, just because I argue that teachers here deserve better does not mean I should be told to leave because you "feel" that you understand me. You assume too much.
Respectfully,
BP "
to bis prof wrote on Aug 7, 2008 4:40 PM:
LJK wrote on Aug 7, 2008 4:20 PM:
Deb wrote on Aug 7, 2008 3:56 PM:
the property taxes are outrageous - and they are high because local government has to make up for the funding they are not receiving from the state. Your state income tax isn't the problem - the legislature not spending the money properly is the problem.
Elect a democrat to get lower property taxes & equitable funding for education. "
Disgruntled taxpayer wrote on Aug 7, 2008 3:43 PM:
MamaMia wrote on Aug 7, 2008 3:37 PM:
Deb wrote on Aug 7, 2008 3:28 PM:
we're not being overtaxed - it's the Republican super-majority in your legislature that doesn't know how to correctly spend the funds that we are collecting. If you want more money spent on education and lowered property taxes - vote Democratic at the next election. "
Deb wrote on Aug 7, 2008 3:25 PM:
Yes, property taxes are set by local municipalities, but they are set in immediate reaction to the lack of funding given by state collected income taxes. The major player is the education funding formula. When the state funded 70% of education, property taxes were relatively low. Now, with the Republican super-majority in the legislature, the state has fallen back to only funding 30-40% of education. The local municipalities have to counter that by charging higher property taxes to make up the difference.
If you vote YES on the measure that will give you back 50% of your income taxes - look for your propoerty taxes to skyrocket. If you want your property taxes to lower, vote NO and also elect the Democrats running in your district - they are committed to increasing state funding for education which will have an immediate impact on your property taxes.
Also - vote NO on permanent oil tax trust fund - this is taking money out of the state coffers virtually FOREVER. There is NO need for this trust fund. It is being set up so that 75% of the legislature would have to vote to use the funds - that will never happen. "
Bis Prof wrote on Aug 7, 2008 3:16 PM:
Bis Prof wrote on Aug 7, 2008 3:07 PM:
Don't forget, you have 6 to 8 sections of students, 30 students per section, and you have to grade and return homework withing days which means you will be working all day and all night. By the time 9 months is up you have worked as many hours as if you had worked 12 months. And don't forget, if sweet little Timmy doesn't like his grade then you will have to deal with mom and dad, who also involve administration. Next thing you know, you're asking yourself why you've sacrificed your life for a low wage job in which you are unappreciated for trying to build educated citizens. I don't know about the loan forgiveness. Oh that's right, you have to work 5 years in a major city's poorest and most dangerous district. Go ahead, sign up, you'll love it! "
Bis Prof wrote on Aug 7, 2008 2:59 PM:
LJK wrote on Aug 7, 2008 2:51 PM:
DISGRUNTLED TAXPAYER wrote on Aug 7, 2008 1:46 PM:
agree with law wrote on Aug 7, 2008 11:39 AM:
Law wrote on Aug 7, 2008 8:22 AM:
Edward wrote on Aug 7, 2008 8:14 AM:
Sideline wrote on Aug 7, 2008 7:20 AM:
Educators are critical, no doubt. But the salary comparisons I usually see are between North Dakota salaries and other states. Surprise! Almost every profession makes less in North Dakota. Of course, people choose to live here for other reasons, too. Perhaps if our small state didn't have a dozen public colleges and universities with duplicate administrations and facilites as a starter. But I digress from the topic of the forum. "
Bis Prof wrote on Aug 7, 2008 1:56 AM:
PoeticJustice wrote on Aug 7, 2008 12:58 AM:
U.S. auditors are reporting that due to soaring oil revenues, Iraq now has a massive budget surplus of 80 BILLION dollars, Yes, 80 Billion with a "B." Now THAT'S a surplus! And as we slog through mid-year facing the largest deficit in U.S. history, we continue sending the tax payer's money to Baghdad at the rate of $500,000 every minute . . . That's $720 Million a day.
Soon all the third world nations are going to claim to have WMD and provoke an attack just to get a piece of that kind of pay-off. "
rs wrote on Aug 6, 2008 10:07 PM:
Economic Conservative wrote on Aug 6, 2008 5:16 PM:
taxpayer wrote on Aug 6, 2008 4:53 PM:
1) State of ND does not assess property taxes. They are set by local governments like city, county, park board, school board.
2) Vote yes on the Income tax reduction (measure 2 I believe?)
3) Vote yes on the permanent oil trust fund (measure 1)
This will simply put more money in the pocket of the taxpayer (consumer) which will result in increased tax revenues for the state (sales tax collections) and the Permanent Oil Trust fund will make it very likely that we will never have to pay income tax again in the near future, paving the way for our next generation to live a better life and to also attract new, higher paying jobs to come to the state. Bigger companies choose states that have low corporate income tax to build their shops, warehouses, stores, etc... and as a result will also increase the quality of life in ND. Here's our chance ND!!! "
Job wrote on Aug 6, 2008 3:38 PM:
Job wrote on Aug 6, 2008 3:31 PM:
Halabis wrote on Aug 6, 2008 2:27 PM:
There are a host of people involved in providing government and services. You do not have to like it, but you do not have many choices about how these services are to be provided. Maybe Job can dream up a new plan that exempts all of us from taxes and still allows us to freely and safely leave our homes each day. "
Manage that money for the future wrote on Aug 6, 2008 2:17 PM:
Its Not That Complicated wrote on Aug 6, 2008 2:06 PM:
It's similar in every other city, county or other unit of government. "
Job wrote on Aug 6, 2008 10:41 AM:
Law wrote on Aug 6, 2008 9:54 AM:
When your salary comes from taxes on people, most who make less than you do, it is hard to justify an increase. The surplus if spent to raise salaries will eventually cause a serious shortfall because once the boom is over the expenses will be set and there will only be an increase in taxes to maintain the spending. "
Wow wrote on Aug 6, 2008 7:26 AM:
Longtimer wrote on Aug 6, 2008 7:18 AM:
Halatbis wrote on Aug 6, 2008 7:01 AM:
The people of ND need to understand the difference between investment and spending---investment of some of this surplus in our future means building our ND industries and agriculture to provide jobs and income over the long pull, meaning decades of stable and good paying jobs for ND'ans.
On the other hand we can cut taxes and also vote ourselves a rebate from the nice surplus we now have--this leaves to chance the building of industry and agriculture that will be here after the boom of oil is gone.
Our state needs a plan for this money!!!! I, or one, do not see anything that looks like a long range strategy. "
LH wrote on Aug 5, 2008 10:26 PM:
LK wrote on Aug 5, 2008 10:21 PM:
Dakota wrote on Aug 5, 2008 8:34 PM:
kk wrote on Aug 5, 2008 7:16 PM:
Joe Citizen wrote on Aug 5, 2008 5:59 PM:
Manage that money for the future wrote on Aug 5, 2008 5:43 PM:
Bis Prof wrote on Aug 5, 2008 5:42 PM:
Nodak wrote on Aug 5, 2008 5:11 PM:
Golly wrote on Aug 5, 2008 4:34 PM:
You are right to a certain extent. The oil boom is adding a lot to it. At the same time, a poor leader can diddle money away pretty quickly. Take the 80s for example. Even though oil was booming, the state was in debt and they were raising taxes like crazy.
Oil Surplus Taxes:
I'm from oil country and they never, NEVER expected it to boom like this, not even the oil companies drilling there (that is, until they got that first well and then they were giddy as heck). In cases like that and when you are figuring oil at $90 a barrel and all of a sudden, it's $140, it's only ten times harder to figure out those estimates. So the people know how to do their job, but unless you have a crystal ball, there are definitely a few things you just can't predict. "
NDFREEZE wrote on Aug 5, 2008 4:09 PM:
Job wrote on Aug 5, 2008 3:41 PM:
snoller wrote on Aug 5, 2008 3:18 PM:
Oil Surplus Taxes wrote on Aug 5, 2008 3:07 PM:
College Student wrote on Aug 5, 2008 2:53 PM:
College isn't cheap, in this state or anywhere. The average student in ND goes over $20,000 in debt in federal loans. Tuition alone over four years at NDSU or UND costs over $24,000. That means that students can't even get enough loan money to cover the cost of tuition, let alone book costs and the cost of living.
If people want long-term economic growth in this state, you are going to need young people. Many of my generation would love to stay here, but without some sort of tuition assistance or loan reimbursement program, it just isn't going to happen. We will leave where the salaries are a bit higher because it means we'll be out of debt a bit faster. "
Law wrote on Aug 5, 2008 12:47 PM:
dalfrednix wrote on Aug 5, 2008 12:26 PM:
MamaMia wrote on Aug 5, 2008 12:17 PM:
Everyone Read This wrote on Aug 5, 2008 12:16 PM:
Miranda wrote on Aug 5, 2008 11:35 AM:
Edword wrote on Aug 5, 2008 11:32 AM:
Revenuers wrote on Aug 5, 2008 11:22 AM:
mlwalker wrote on Aug 5, 2008 11:18 AM:
If you have driven on it you know exactly which one I meant. "
To Job wrote on Aug 5, 2008 11:04 AM:
Good Lord. Do you spend all the money you have before you even have it? Because that, to me, is not doing a good job.
This is just a clear indicator that his initiatives are working and we're experiencing unprecendented growth. We'll see some tax cuts this session, just have a little patience for the legislative process and session to get rocking. "
Law wrote on Aug 5, 2008 10:27 AM:
Geoff wrote on Aug 5, 2008 10:16 AM:
Seriously wrote on Aug 5, 2008 10:13 AM:
M wrote on Aug 5, 2008 10:13 AM:
to Job wrote on Aug 5, 2008 10:02 AM:
a resident wrote on Aug 5, 2008 9:47 AM:
kk wrote on Aug 5, 2008 9:34 AM:
gg wrote on Aug 5, 2008 9:29 AM:
WhatTha wrote on Aug 5, 2008 9:25 AM:
The brakes need to be applied now, or else it'll be a spend-fest come next January at the capitol. We need to vote for the income tax cut measure, so the money is kept in the taxpayers pockets, not in governments hands. "
bad road wrote on Aug 5, 2008 9:22 AM:
Job wrote on Aug 5, 2008 9:08 AM:
mlwalker wrote on Aug 5, 2008 8:52 AM:
parent wrote on Aug 5, 2008 7:59 AM:
Young Voter wrote on Aug 5, 2008 6:40 AM:
So, the surplus is because we haven't been spending fast enough? That's all I need to know about that candidate! "
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