Jun 19, 2008 - 06:36:58 CDT
Estimates of North Dakota's budget surplus now total $740 million, and the state's budget director says the number is likely to grow still larger.
Pam Sharp told the Legislature's interim Budget Section committee on Wednesday that state budget analysts are crafting new estimates of tax collections. The numbers should be completed by mid-July, she said.
The new forecast is a normal step in the process of drafting Gov. John Hoeven's budget recommendations for the 2009 Legislature, Sharp said. Present tax collections are now compared to revenue forecasts that were published in March 2007.
Current estimates say North Dakota's general fund treasury, which is financed mostly by taxes on income, sales, energy, tobacco and corporations, should have a balance of $271.1 million when the state's two-year budget period ends on June 30, 2009.
A separate fund for surplus oil tax collections is expected to have at least $268.9 million. North Dakota's treasury also has a "rainy-day" fund that can be accessed during budgetary difficulties; it now has a $200 million balance.
Sharp described the oil tax estimates on Wednesday as "very much understated."
"Our forecast (in March 2007) was based on $44 oil. We're at $125 now," Sharp said. "Production (was estimated) at 116,000 barrels a day, and we're at over 150,000 barrels a day."
Drafting the new estimates involves consulting with Moody's Economy.com, a national economic forecasting company, and a "revenue advisory group" of North Dakota industry leaders and legislators who review the figures.
"We just talk about what is going on in their industries in the state, and we want to make sure that what they're seeing ... is the same thing that Economy.com is telling us," Sharp said.
From July 2007 through May 2008, sales tax revenues were running 9.4 percent ahead of initial estimates, with $441.5 million in actual collections, an OMB report says.
Individual income tax collections totaled $285.1 million during the same period, an increase of 25.8 percent over estimates. North Dakota's motor vehicle excise tax, which is a sales tax on cars and trucks, had $60.7 million, which was 18.6 percent ahead of expectations.

seven gone wrote on Jul 8, 2008 12:12 PM:
seven gone wrote on Jul 8, 2008 11:04 AM:
look, i've worked at hospitals and seen patients for twenty years now, and i'm not about to get a lecture from some socialist with her moveon.org playbook of responses as to what the problems are. yet again ...READ THE QUESTION ... what is your answer to make socialist healthcare AFFORDABLE for the masses? sure, hmo's etc are top heavy ... what is your plan ... and your pal obama? to abolish them? good luck.
you seem to be so versed in fraud, perhaps i'm out of my league with you ... but again, how are you going to solve it? i think you come back to an argument of many previous that i've had with you, that the only way to reduce it is to reduce the "socialism" or "paternalism" by making all these stupid programs that people bilk. whether it's hurricane relief, or the farm bill (with your fiscally "frugal" and corrupt conrad), or health care ... the solution is self-determination. not the govt to do everything. has the govt under any admin managed the veterans with any responsibility and frugality. hardly ...
so do your only research before you blather on about nothing. "
mom-of-teens wrote on Jul 7, 2008 11:30 PM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jul 7, 2008 6:31 PM:
seven gone wrote on Jul 7, 2008 1:42 PM:
all of which is why you need to specify just how you're going to make health care "affordable". whose toes collectively get stepped on to accommodate your lovely socialist notions? "
seven gone wrote on Jul 7, 2008 1:38 PM:
then they sit around and cry when something happens. strikes a more general chord with insurance though, if people choose not to insure themselves, or can't get insurance because of dangerous lifestyle habits they've chosen to pursue, or even for property damage hurricanes etc ... everybody seems to want the govt to run in with bales of money and make everything good.
that is most definitely not the role of government, in my view. "
seven gone wrote on Jul 7, 2008 12:15 PM:
the evil influence of lobby covers both parties territory quite handily, oil or pharma or whatever else ...
constituting what would be affordable and how one would attain that however it appears you have no concept of. what's your magic plan ... price controls? salary controls? capitation? it's one thing to propose some hypothetical notion, it's quite another thing to go from calling it "affordable" to making it so ...
that's one of the probs i have with your pal obama, and by deflection hillary ... to talk of something, whatever "time for a change" gee that's what the people seem to want to hear. but you can change for the worse, just as you can change for the better. "
mom-of-teens wrote on Jul 6, 2008 9:08 PM:
seven gone wrote on Jul 5, 2008 12:20 AM:
as i said before, when some stupid financing effort like the federal initiated drug plan or the democrat lauded socialized healthcare system comes to bear, where do they want to go to finance all that nonsense? take a big guess ... btw,
anybody rooted in the real world knows that socialized medicine is a failure; i've lived years in both canada and the u.s. and i can tell you that more people speak highly of the american system than the rationed canadian system. i had better coverage overall in the states than i've had while living in canada. but the socialists KNOW WHAT"S BEST FOR EVERYBODY instead of letting people determine matters for themselves.
so if they elect obama, whatever, i really don't care. because as a minion, you and i have no sway for any of this anyway. but if you think things are bad under bush, if you think the way to solve the riddle is with more taxation and frivolity, you're in for a big surprise. "
mom-of-teens wrote on Jul 4, 2008 5:25 PM:
. "
seven gone wrote on Jul 2, 2008 11:54 PM:
but i would disagree with your underlying premise that i wouldn't want you naive socialists to go somewhere else ... anywhere else for that matter. i sure would ... all of you that feel and express your standard garbage about bush being the worst president, lack of freedoms and liberties, patriot acts, wars here you want us to get involved in //eg//the rwandan genocide, wars you don't want us to get involved in, nothing , but NOTHING is right for some of you leftist clowns.
for all that you collectively seem to be tortured to live in the state, and live in the country, you should go somewhere else like venezuela and experience what civil liberties under socialism are REALLY like. "
mom-of-teens wrote on Jul 2, 2008 3:52 PM:
seven gone wrote on Jun 29, 2008 3:45 PM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 28, 2008 1:38 PM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 28, 2008 1:35 PM:
seven gone wrote on Jun 28, 2008 11:55 AM:
maybe you should learn something about economics yourself. you seem to have a problem with your definitions. "
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 28, 2008 10:54 AM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 28, 2008 10:47 AM:
NN wrote on Jun 28, 2008 9:37 AM:
seven gone wrote on Jun 28, 2008 12:32 AM:
can't have it both ways, hypocrite. and the next time there's a deficit, they can come and take it out of you, because you seem to be all for this kind of stuff. "
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 27, 2008 7:11 PM:
NN wrote on Jun 27, 2008 5:14 PM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 27, 2008 11:26 AM:
seven gone wrote on Jun 26, 2008 10:44 PM:
why should i bother to read all of your posts? i don't think you read them even as you write them (you sure don't use your brain as you manufacture them). "
Nuttin rong with Mom of teens wrote on Jun 26, 2008 9:49 PM:
kk wrote on Jun 26, 2008 7:05 PM:
Mom wrote on Jun 26, 2008 6:53 PM:
Economic Conservative wrote on Jun 26, 2008 6:06 PM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 26, 2008 4:32 PM:
JB wrote on Jun 26, 2008 1:40 PM:
seven gone wrote on Jun 26, 2008 1:01 PM:
money that is in excess is the property of the taxpayer. the last thing i would want(though obviously not a socialist like you) would be for the govt to expand its largesse and waste it on other crap, which like the rest of govt simply expands and expands in domain as the years do pass.
give it back to the people who it belongs to. "
Just Curious wrote on Jun 26, 2008 10:04 AM:
http://www.taxfoundation.org/taxdata/show/473.html "
Just Curious wrote on Jun 26, 2008 9:57 AM:
The first is to reserve everything above $100 million from the oil tax revenue.
The second is to slash state income taxes on individuals by 50% and corporate income tax by 15%.
The state could likely afford to pass one of these measures, but to pass both of them will have the Jesse Ventura effect on ND's state budgets. Those of you who live in the Valley probably best remember Ventura giving back all of Minnesota's surpluses in his first two years, then really struggling with govt deficits for the remainder of his term. It wasn't pretty.
I always recommend budget cuts by identifying the programs or infrastructure that you are willing to go without as opposed to just taking the money away without giving some guidance on how to do the same with less money.
I mean seriously, who here says I am going to live on less by just going out and getting a lower paying job? Someone, anyone????? OF course you don't, you say I'll keep this great paying job and stay out of the bar this week, go to fewer movies, etc, etc.
That's my suggestion. ND made the mistake in the early 1980s of thinking high oil revenue was here to stay. Then the oil money disappeared over the course of a couple of years. It sucked! "
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 25, 2008 4:46 PM:
JB wrote on Jun 25, 2008 4:18 PM:
I wish people would read MY posts carefully before commenting.
I specifically stated I was addressing my comment to "Mom" not you. "
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 25, 2008 4:01 PM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 25, 2008 3:57 PM:
JB wrote on Jun 25, 2008 3:39 PM:
We've had two state-run businesses for 80 years (the Bank and the Mill). They both compete with the private sector, and always have. It's a little late to object to it now, isn't it? "
kk wrote on Jun 25, 2008 3:08 PM:
We are over taxed~ whichever way~ income property~whatever~ the state of ND is obviously overtaxing us since they are the only state that has such a huge huge huge surplus ~ plain and simple
they the politicans are getting paid~ heck they are begging for raises~ why not give back to us???? "
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 25, 2008 2:56 PM:
Mom wrote on Jun 25, 2008 2:23 PM:
Soldier wrote on Jun 25, 2008 1:28 PM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 25, 2008 12:53 PM:
to this is nuts wrote on Jun 25, 2008 12:52 PM:
Law wrote on Jun 25, 2008 10:07 AM:
This is nuts wrote on Jun 25, 2008 8:52 AM:
Why should it then be refunded to you, or do you think that since some industries are generating enormous revenues for the State that it should be used to lesson your tax burden instead of being reinvested in the State.
Where revenues are created there are many not so noticable infrastructure costs directly associated with them. Some of the tax revenues should be reinvested in the areas that generated them. Get real it is not my money either!!
It is a real opportunity for the State to save rural North Dakota; if it wasn't for that self centered greed problem! "
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 25, 2008 7:09 AM:
kk wrote on Jun 24, 2008 10:59 PM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 24, 2008 10:23 PM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 24, 2008 9:23 PM:
kk wrote on Jun 24, 2008 6:35 PM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 24, 2008 5:45 PM:
mat wrote on Jun 24, 2008 5:17 PM:
What is really scaring me is that a few posters on here seem to think that they know what others are going to spend thier money on, and more importantly feel that they should have a say on how it is spent. My money is my money, I will spend it how i please (legal activities). These are the freedoms we enjoy (along with all of us being able to put our two cents in). "
Vetter wrote on Jun 24, 2008 3:24 PM:
Dantes Inferno wrote on Jun 24, 2008 3:16 PM:
BILL G-A-R-R wrote on Jun 24, 2008 1:46 PM:
kk wrote on Jun 24, 2008 8:33 AM:
Start paying attention or your teens will be leaving this state and you will be crying "
Soldier wrote on Jun 24, 2008 8:26 AM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 24, 2008 8:20 AM:
mat wrote on Jun 24, 2008 3:37 AM:
Are you serious? If you give money (tax dollars that taxpayers paid in) back to the taxpayers, they will spend it!!! That is good. That means taxes will be collected on the goods they bought, and gov't gets more $$$. That is the whole premise behind refund checks. the Feds didn't give (return) us money back so we could save it. They gave, (umm sorry, returned) it to us to spend.
Here is an econ lesson for you. When you BUY goods taxes are collected, govt runs on the taxes. The more money spent, the more taxes collected for govt!!
Who are you to say how your friends, neightbors, etc are to spend money (i can "blow my money on something stupid" if i want to). The key is that we all take personal responsibility so that when we are broke we don't whine to govt for a handout (welfare, not tax refunds). I could sense your confusion about the two. "
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 23, 2008 9:17 PM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 23, 2008 9:12 PM:
Online Editor wrote on Jun 23, 2008 12:52 PM:
Soldier wrote on Jun 23, 2008 12:38 PM:
DuWayne Hendrickson wrote on Jun 23, 2008 11:02 AM:
kk wrote on Jun 23, 2008 9:30 AM:
There are alot of people that could use this break~ and there would still be plenty for roads ~ mind yoU~ taxes are NOT going down so the money will keep piling in~ "
kk wrote on Jun 23, 2008 9:27 AM:
and as far as owning and not owing~ I own farms businesses and homes~ free and clear so you wanna match dollar for dollar here???? "
Why Oh Why wrote on Jun 22, 2008 9:22 PM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 22, 2008 3:11 PM:
Traveler wrote on Jun 22, 2008 8:08 AM:
No; it isn't the problem. The problem is government spending is out of control.
The basic question is do you trust the governmment to be a better steward of your money than you are? I don't. By the design of our system, the government does needs a certain amount of money to maintain solid infrastructure like highway systems and core education. Beyond that, much of our money is simply squandered on highly questionable special programs and pass-thru's to special interests; 'pork', if you will.
Any true surpluses that accumulate only invites governmental entities to search for ways to spend the money. I'll bet breakfast for everyone on this forum that as soon as the news came out about the surplus in ND, people started thinking about how to get a piece of it for their pet projects or agencies. That's not saving because you have extra, that's spending because you have extra. And once you've raised the bar on that 'needed' amount, good luck trying to cut it from the budget next cycle. "
ND permanent fund wrote on Jun 21, 2008 9:30 PM:
JB wrote on Jun 21, 2008 8:08 PM:
If you're going to save it, you can't spend it on ANYTHING soon, no matter what. Which is a good solid ND idea too. "
NoDak John wrote on Jun 21, 2008 5:27 AM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 20, 2008 11:31 PM:
UH, no clearly mom of teens OWES nothing; she does get it; she gets that a surplus is a good thing; it's the DEBT that kills us... "
W wrote on Jun 20, 2008 7:40 PM:
LJK wrote on Jun 20, 2008 4:21 PM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 20, 2008 3:27 PM:
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 20, 2008 3:23 PM:
This is nuts wrote on Jun 20, 2008 12:47 PM:
We have enough Sykes and other big box call centers in the cities, creating tons of low paying jobs and sucking the rural towns dry. Money needs to be invested in micro-manufacturing in small town North Dakota. We need to reverse the trend of creating ghost towns and redefine what economic really deveopment is.
I know many of you that feel this revenue, which is being generated from rural North Dakota, should be used for your benefit rather than the benefit of rural North Dakota. Unfortunately, the Gov. would probably agree with you. "
Oil Impact County wrote on Jun 20, 2008 9:47 AM:
to kk from change wrote on Jun 20, 2008 9:17 AM:
Socks wrote on Jun 20, 2008 6:53 AM:
kk wrote on Jun 19, 2008 10:22 PM:
And by the way MOM OF TEENS~ why shouldn't we get money back???? It is OURS that we put in~ why should it go to politicans or something else????? "
mom-of-teens wrote on Jun 19, 2008 8:31 PM:
dante wrote on Jun 19, 2008 8:05 PM:
BILL G-A-R-R wrote on Jun 19, 2008 7:35 PM:
kk wrote on Jun 19, 2008 7:03 PM:
NDGuy wrote on Jun 19, 2008 6:24 PM:
To Hootie wrote on Jun 19, 2008 6:21 PM:
Traveler wrote on Jun 19, 2008 4:37 PM:
Lucky Lotto wrote on Jun 19, 2008 4:00 PM:
Hey Hootie. wrote on Jun 19, 2008 3:31 PM:
Razors Edge wrote on Jun 19, 2008 3:08 PM:
JMV wrote on Jun 19, 2008 2:53 PM:
56% of your property tax dollars go twards public schools, 22% to the city of bis, 13% to the county and 9% to parks & rec. Over the years the State was funding schools 70% and now its around 40%, leaving the tax payers to pick up the balance in the way of property taxes. "
Forward Observer wrote on Jun 19, 2008 2:50 PM:
JimmyCrackedCorn wrote on Jun 19, 2008 2:19 PM:
Payout was 1600 or so dollars per person last year, and no state taxes.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alaska_Permanent_Fund "
JimmyCrackedCorn wrote on Jun 19, 2008 2:14 PM:
p.s. I'm probably a little bit on the republican side, but isn't two terms enough for a governor. Fresh ideas, new faces. Power and government can get to a person despite the best efforts to prevent them leaching in. "
Hootie wrote on Jun 19, 2008 2:10 PM:
https://www.pfd.state.ak.us/
$740mil is enough to make each and every citizen of North Dakota a millionaire. "
coming back wrote on Jun 19, 2008 1:57 PM:
FlyOnTheWall wrote on Jun 19, 2008 1:39 PM:
Again, vote YES on Measure 1, the "Permanent Promise" for oil revenues. "
to racist biker from change wrote on Jun 19, 2008 1:38 PM:
Racist Biker wrote on Jun 19, 2008 11:56 AM:
ND Citizen wrote on Jun 19, 2008 11:55 AM:
From the South West wrote on Jun 19, 2008 11:04 AM:
middle of the road wrote on Jun 19, 2008 10:40 AM:
change wrote on Jun 19, 2008 10:24 AM:
Millie wrote on Jun 19, 2008 10:07 AM:
Economic Conservative wrote on Jun 19, 2008 10:00 AM:
In the Know wrote on Jun 19, 2008 9:57 AM:
Nickel Trophy wrote on Jun 19, 2008 9:57 AM:
:) "
kev wrote on Jun 19, 2008 9:35 AM:
WhatTha wrote on Jun 19, 2008 9:27 AM:
Traveler wrote on Jun 19, 2008 9:20 AM:
Common Sense wrote on Jun 19, 2008 8:48 AM:
Soldier wrote on Jun 19, 2008 8:35 AM:
My Opinion wrote on Jun 19, 2008 8:34 AM:
Grumpy Old Republican wrote on Jun 19, 2008 8:00 AM:
ND Guy wrote on Jun 19, 2008 7:38 AM:
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